The Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) Market Report

Summary

The Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) Market examines one of the defence industry's and reviews leading UAV programmes and products, with the prospects and outlook for providers of UAV systems and technologies. Those pilot-less aircraft are taking on important battlefield and security roles, becoming crucial to missions and other operations. Pending new rules, a significant civil UAV market is also poised to flourish. The high priority assigned to UAVs has made those products and systems relatively resistant to the global economic downturn. This report discusses that market in detail, explaining its characteristics and potential from 2009 onwards. 

The worldwide UAV market will expand significantly next decade. Major defence contractors are involved in developing and producing UAVs. At the same time, newer or smaller companies have also emerged with innovative technologies that make the market even more vibrant.

Our forecast period, 2009-2019, reveals an overall rise in UAV spending as militaries embrace UAV systems and incorporate new policies. Which UAV submarkets have the greatest value and will experience the highest growth? Which countries will spend most on UAVs over the next decade, and how much? How are UAV manufacturers adapting to meet increasingly-demanding military requirements? This report will provide you with the information that you need to understand current trends and future possibilities.

In particular, this report discusses the global outlook for the following UAV submarkets:

• Small UAVs
• Tactical UAVs
• Endurance UAVs
• Unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs)
• Civil UAVs.

Comprehensive analysis of the global UAV market

The Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) Market report examines this important sector critically and supplies a comprehensive review of programmes and products via analysis of policy documents, news reports, industry publications, market analysis and consultations with experts. This report provides detailed sales forecasts, a SWOT analysis, pipeline developments and analyses of commercial drivers and restraints.

Why you should buy The Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) Market 2009-2019

The main benefits from your purchasing this report:

• You will gain an understanding of the current market for UAVs worldwide
• You will examine major UAV programmes being undertaken in leading markets
• You will receive sales forecasts for the global UAV market from 2009 to 2019
• You will receive sales forecasts for 12 leading national markets in Europe, the Americas and the Asia-Pacific from 2009 to 2019
• You will receive analyses for strengths and weaknesses of the UAV sector from 2009 onwards, including market drivers and restraints
• You will read five original interviews, seeing views from some of the world’s leading UAV manufacturers, from a supplier to that industry sector and from a defence consultancy.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Executive Summary

2 The Emergence of UAVs

2.1 Origins

2.2 UAVs in 21st Century Conflicts

2.3 Wider Battlefield Roles for UAVs

2.4 UAVs Becoming Essential to Military Operations

2.5 Components of a UAV System

2.5.1 Air Segment

2.5.2 Ground Segment

2.6 Mission Types and Design Characteristics

2.6.1 Small UAVs

2.6.2 Tactical UAVs

2.6.3 Endurance UAVs

2.6.3.1 Medium Altitude Long Endurance (MALE)

2.6.3.2 High Altitude Long Endurance (HALE)

2.6.4 Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs)

2.7 UAV Missions

2.8 US Mission Planning Assumptions

2.8.1 Non-Aggressive Missions

2.8.2 Aggressive Missions

2.9 New Technologies, New Missions

3 Challenges to UAV Development and Use

3.1 Costs

3.2 Survivability

3.3 Bandwidth Issues

3.4 New Engine Technologies

3.5 The Challenge of Urban Warfare

3.6 Operational Issues

3.7 Interoperability

3.8 Logistical Issues

3.9 Fuel and Battery Requirements

3.10 Integration into Controlled Airspace

3.11 Air Regulations Affect both Military and Civil UAVs

3.12 Civil UAVs Raise Air Safety Concerns

3.13 UAV Technology at a Watershed

3.14 Aerospace and Defence Industrial Issues

3.14.1 Substitutability: Unmanned vs. Manned Aircraft

3.14.2 Direct Substitution Unlikely

3.15 New Opportunities in a Competitive Market

4 The Global UAV Market

4.1 The Market Defined

4.2 Steady Growth Across UAV Submarkets

4.3 US is Dominant Developer and User of UAVs

4.4 Major European Powers Also Invest Heavily in UAVs

5 Leading Markets for UAVs

5.1 US

5.1.1 Forecast for US UAV Market, 2009-19

5.1.2 Key US UAV Programmes

5.1.2.1 US Air Force

5.1.2.2 US Army

5.1.2.3 US Marine Corps

5.1.2.4 US Navy

5.1.2.5 Special Operations Command (SOCOM)

5.2 UK

5.2.1 Forecast for UK UAV Market, 2009-19

5.2.2 Key UK UAV Programmes

5.2.2.1 Watchkeeper

5.2.2.2 Hermes 450

5.2.2.3 Reaper

5.2.2.4 Desert Hawk

5.2.2.5 Taranis

5.2.2.6 Mantis

5.2.2.7 Herti

5.3 France

5.3.1 Forecast for French UAV Market, 2009-19

5.3.2 Key French UAV Programmes

5.3.2.1 Eagle-1 (SIDM)

5.3.2.2 Tracker

5.3.2.3 Neuron

5.3.2.4 VTOL UAV

5.4 Germany

5.4.1 Forecast for German UAV Market, 2009-19

5.4.2 Key German UAV Programmes

5.4.2.1 EuroHawk

5.4.2.2 Reaper

5.4.2.3 Fancopters

5.5 India

5.5.1 Forecast for Indian UAV Market, 2009-19

5.5.2 Key Indian UAV Programmes

5.5.2.1 Heron

5.5.2.2 Searcher

5.5.2.3 Other Projects

5.6 Australia

5.6.1 Forecast for Australian UAV Market, 2009-19

5.6.2 Key Australian UAV Programmes

5.6.2.1 JP-129 Replacement

5.6.2.2 Scan Eagle

5.6.2.3 Skylark

5.7 Japan

5.7.1 Forecast for Japanese UAV Market, 2009-19

5.7.2 Key Japanese UAV Programmes

5.7.2.1 Domestic UAV Designs

5.7.2.2 Rotary-wing UAVs

5.8 Italy

5.8.1 Forecast for Italian UAV Market, 2009-19

5.8.2 Key Italian UAV Programmes

5.8.2.1 Reaper

5.8.2.2 Predator

5.8.2.3 Neuron

5.8.2.4 Sky-X

5.9 Canada

5.9.1 Forecast for Canadian UAV Market, 2009-19

5.9.2 Key Canadian UAV Programmes

5.9.2.1 JUSTAS

5.9.2.2 Heron

5.9.2.3 Scan Eagles

5.9.2.4 Skylark Mini-UAV

5.9.2.5 Silver Fox

5.9.2.6 Sperwer

5.10 South Korea

5.10.1 Forecast for South Korean UAV Market, 2009-19

5.10.2 Key South Korean UAV Programmes

5.10.2.1 Domestic MALE UAV

5.10.2.2 Skylark

5.11 China

5.11.1 Forecast for Chinese UAV Market, 2009-19

5.11.2 Key Chinese UAV Programmes

5.11.2.1 UAVs for 'Informationised Warfare'

5.11.2.2 UCAV Designs

5.12 Russia

5.12.1 Forecast for Russian UAV Market, 2009-19

5.12.2 Key Russian UAV Programmes

5.12.2.1 Russia Decides to Buy UAVs from Israel

5.12.2.2 Domestic Programmes Not as Successful

6 Factors Affecting the UAV Market

6.1 Strengths of the UAV Market

6.1.1 Keen Interest Among Military Forces

6.1.2 UAVs Taking On Leading Battlefield Roles

6.1.3 Persistent Surveillance is a Key Capability UAVs Can Provide

6.1.4 There is a Vibrant UAV Industry

6.2 Weaknesses of the UAV Market

6.2.1 Costs Related to Developing and Using UAVs May be Underestimated

6.2.2 UAV Systems must also Cope with Evolving Military Requirements

6.2.3 Challenges of Using UAVs

6.2.4 Delays in Opening Access to Airspace Could Suppress Demand

6.3 Opportunities in the UAV Market

6.3.1 Spending in UAVs Unlikely to Face Cuts

6.3.2 Many Militaries are Moving to Incorporate UAVs in their Combat Doctrines

6.3.3 Major Defence Contractors are Eager to Form Partnerships with Smaller Companies

6.3.4 There is a Potentially Vast Market for Civil UAVs

6.4 Threats to the UAV Market

6.4.1 Resistance from Proponents of Traditional Manned Aircraft

6.4.2 Many Countries May Hold Off UAV Purchases Until Technologies Mature

6.4.3 Subsystems for Complex Unmanned Aircraft such as UCAVs are Still Maturing

6.4.4 Costs May Deter Some Countries from Buying UAVs

7 Expert Opinion

7.1 Thomas J Cassidy Jr, President, Aircraft Systems Group, General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc. (GA-ASI)

7.1.1 Focus of GA-ASI Programmes

7.1.2 GA-ASI Markets

7.1.3 Effect of Recession on UAV Demand

7.1.4 Airspace Issues and UAVs

7.1.5 Staying Ahead of Competition

7.1.6 UAVs and Manned Aircraft

7.1.7 Continuing Work in Maritime UAVs

7.2 Tommy Silberring, Manager of the Malat Division of Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)

7.2.1 UAV Acquisition to Grow

7.2.2 Lessons Learned as a Pioneering UAV Company

7.2.3 UAVs

7.2.4 The ‘F-16’ of UAVs

7.2.5 More Small UAVs

7.2.6 UCAVs, Maritime UAVs Figure in the Future

7.2.7 Airspace Issues Affect Civil Use of UAVs

7.2.8 A Technological Leap in Mass Production

7.2.9 Industry Consolidation

7.3 Nick Miller, Business Director for ISTAR and UAV Systems of Thales UK

7.3.1 News on Watchkeeper and Related Thales Products

7.3.2 Demand for UAVs Rises; Efforts Continue in Opening Airspace

7.3.3 Key Developments, Needs in UAV Systems

7.3.4 Consolidation of UAV Industry

7.3.5 Combining Thales's Sensors and UAVs

7.3.6 Market for Maritime UAVs

7.3.7 Future UCAVs

7.4 Patrick D Moneymaker, CEO of Proxy Aviation Systems

7.4.1 Uncertainty in Budgets

7.4.2 Right Mix of UAVs is Maturing

7.4.3 Challenges to UAV Development

7.4.4 Challenges for Small Businesses in UAV Market

7.4.5 Consolidation of UAV Industry

7.5 G A 'Black' Robertson, Managing Director of Blackbourne Wells Ltd.

7.5.1 UAV Demand to Rise Despite Recession

7.5.2 Challenges to UAV Development

7.5.3 Nations Start to Embrace UAVs for Varied Roles

7.5.4 Consolidation of UAV Industry

7.5.5 UAV Contribution to ISR/ISTAR Ever Increasing

7.5.6 UCAVs at Present and in the Future

8 Key Companies Involved in the UAV Market

8.1 AAI Corp

8.2 AeroVironment

8.3 Alenia Aeronautica

8.4 Aurora Flight Sciences

8.5 BAE Systems

8.6 Bell Helicopter

8.7 Boeing IDS

8.8 Dassault Aviation

8.9 EADS DS

8.10 Elbit Systems

8.11 EMT

8.12 General Atomics Aeronautics Systems Inc

8.13 Honeywell Engineering

8.14 Insitute

8.15 Israel Aerospace Industries

8.16 Lockheed Martin

8.17 Northrop Grumman Integrated Systems

8.18 Proxy Aviation Systems

8.19 Rheinmetall Defence Systems

8.20 Ruag Aerospace

8.21 Saab Aerosystems

8.22 Sagem Défense Sécurité

9 Conclusions

9.1 Key Drivers and Restraints

9.2 UAV Submarkets will Mostly See Growth

9.3 UAVs in High Demand Worldwide

List of Tables

Table 4.1 World UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 4.2 World UAV Sales CAGR
Table 4.3 World UAV Sales by Submarket, 2009-19
Table 4.4 World UAV Sales CAGR by Submarket
Table 4.5 UAV Sales and Share by Leading Markets: 2008, 2014, 2019
Table 5.1 Leading Country Markets, UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.2 US UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.3 US UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.4 UK UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.5 UK UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.6 France UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.7 France UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.8 Germany UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.9 Germany UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.10 India UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.11 India UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.12 Australia UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.13 Australia UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.14 Japan UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.15 Japan UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.16 Italy UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.17 Italy UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.18 Canada UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.19 Canada UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.20 South Korea UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.21 South Korea UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.22 China UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.23 China UAV Sales CAGR
Table 5.24 Russia UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Table 5.25 Russia UAV Sales CAGR
Table 6.1 SWOT Analysis, UAV Market, 2009-19

List of Figures

Figure 4.1 World UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 4.2 World UAV Sales Forecast by Submarket, 2009-19
Figure 4.3 Market Share of UAV Submarkets: 2008
Figure 4.4 Market Share of UAV Submarkets: 2014
Figure 4.5 Market Share of UAV Submarkets: 2019
Figure 4.6 UAV Sales by Leading Country Markets, 2008
Figure 4.7 UAV Sales by Leading Country Markets, 2014
Figure 4.8 UAV Sales by Leading Country Markets, 2019
Figure 5.1 US UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.2 UK UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.3 France UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.4 Germany UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.5 India UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.6 Australia UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.7 Japan UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.8 Italy UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.9 Canada UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.10 South Korea UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.11 China UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19
Figure 5.12 Russia UAV Sales Forecast, 2009-19 

Companies Mentioned in this Report

AAI Corp
Advanced Ceramics Research
Aeronautical Development Establishment (ADE) (India)
Aeronautics Defence Systems
Aerospatiale-Matra
AeroVironment
Airbus
Alenia
Aurora Flight Sciences
BAE Systems
Bell Helicopter
Blackbourne Wells Ltd
Boeing IDS
Construcciones Aeronauticas SA (CASA)
CyberAero
DaimlerChrysler Aerospace (DASA)
Dassault Aviation
Diehl BGT 
EAB
EADS
EADS CASA
Elbit Systems
EMT
EuroHawk GmbH
Fuji 
GE Aviation
General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc (GA-ASI)
General Dynamics
General Motors
Honeywell Engineering
Insitu
Irkut
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI)
Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) MALAT Division
Kawanda
Korean Air
Lockheed Martin
MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates (MDA)
Megget
Mil Design Bureau
Northrop Grumman Corp. 
Oerlikon-Contraves Canada
Protonex
Proxy Aviation Systems
Raytheon
Qinetiq
Rheinmetall Defence Systems
Rolls-Royce
Rotax
Ruag Aerospace
Ruag Ammotec
Ruag Electronics 
Ruag Land Systems
Ryan
Saab Aerosystems
Safran Group
Sagem Défense Sécurité
Schweizer
Selex Galileo 
Selex Galileo Falco
Sukhoi 
Survey Copter
Swift Engineering
Tadiran
Textron
Thales UK
Tula Design Bureau
UAS Dynamics
Unmanned Tactical Systems (U-TacS)
Yamaha